Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 交易量
$78,923 交易量
2026-05-10
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 交易量
$78,923 交易量
2026-05-10
17°C or below
$4,402 交易量
No
18°C
$4,131 交易量
No
19°C
$4,591 交易量
No
20°C
$9,030 交易量
No
21°C
$7,024 交易量
No
22°C
$10,254 交易量
No
23°C
$10,804 交易量
Yes
24°C
$13,445 交易量
No
25°C
$7,621 交易量
No
26°C
$3,216 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$4,405 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$78,923结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,923结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题