Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 KL.
$73,001 KL.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 KL.
$73,001 KL.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
$548 KL.
No
8°C
$384 KL.
No
9°C
$402 KL.
No
10°C
$754 KL.
No
11°C
$3,416 KL.
No
12°C
$5,347 KL.
No
13°C
$13,111 KL.
No
14°C
$8,764 KL.
No
15°C
$9,618 KL.
Yes
16°C
$14,585 KL.
No
17°C or higher
$16,072 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$73,001Ngày kết thúc
May 6, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$73,001Ngày kết thúc
May 6, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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