Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Busan on May 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 11?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 Vol.
$40,620 Vol.
May 11, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$40,620 Vol.
$40,620 Vol.
May 11, 2026
16°C or below
$1,114 Vol.
No
17°C
$659 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,932 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,055 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,168 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,443 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,420 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,628 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,518 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,978 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$6,705 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ET
ভলিউম
$40,620শেষ তারিখ
May 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$40,620শেষ তারিখ
May 11, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 9, 2026, 7:52 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Busan's highest temperature reaching exactly 24°C today, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast, which projects a daytime peak of 24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. Current observations from KMA stations confirm morning temperatures climbing steadily toward this cap, consistent with regional ensemble model runs showing minimal convective activity and no heat advection from inland areas—aligning with May climatology where Busan averages highs of 22–24°C. Scenarios challenging this include prolonged solar insolation from unexpected clearing skies or microscale urban heating effects, potentially nudging readings to 25°C; KMA's evening update will provide final observational data for market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা