Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 Vol.
$176,568 Vol.
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 Vol.
$176,568 Vol.
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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