Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 4?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 交易量
$48,150 交易量
2026-05-04
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,150 交易量
$48,150 交易量
2026-05-04
29°C or below
$20,561 交易量
No
30°C
$2,434 交易量
No
31°C
$2,750 交易量
No
32°C
$2,464 交易量
No
33°C
$1,492 交易量
No
34°C
$978 交易量
No
35°C
$2,927 交易量
No
36°C
$2,299 交易量
No
37°C
$4,285 交易量
No
38°C
$4,309 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$3,650 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$48,150结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,150结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher at King Abdulaziz International Airport today, driven by real-time METAR observations already hitting 38°C midday and hourly forecasts from BBC Weather and AccuWeather projecting peaks of 39–39.4°C (102–103°F) under hazy sunshine with light northwesterly winds and low humidity around 20–30%. This reflects persistent high-pressure subsidence over the Arabian Peninsula, minimizing cloud cover and maximizing solar heating in Jeddah's coastal desert climate, where May averages 37°C but frequent spikes occur. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge in Red Sea sea breeze or dust-induced cooling before evening, though model consensus shows minimal risk as observations continue via NCM updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题