Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at 100% implied probability for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport station confirming a peak of 33°C amid partly cloudy mornings transitioning to afternoon thunderstorms that capped heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event NiMet outlooks and ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models projecting 32–33°C highs, consistent with May climatology featuring warm Gulf of Guinea sea surface temperatures (around 29°C), urban heat island amplification, and rainy season onset suppressing extremes beyond 33–34°C. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from an alternative verified station revealing a higher reading, though current reports show no discrepancies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lagos on May 7?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 7?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$105,539 KL.
$105,539 KL.
May 7, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$105,539 KL.
$105,539 KL.
May 7, 2026
27°C or below
$20,602 KL.
No
28°C
$25,700 KL.
No
29°C
$9,049 KL.
No
30°C
$3,049 KL.
No
31°C
$13,698 KL.
No
32°C
$2,192 KL.
No
33°C
$10,038 KL.
Yes
34°C
$9,292 KL.
No
35°C
$4,180 KL.
No
36°C
$4,362 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$3,377 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at 100% implied probability for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport station confirming a peak of 33°C amid partly cloudy mornings transitioning to afternoon thunderstorms that capped heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event NiMet outlooks and ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models projecting 32–33°C highs, consistent with May climatology featuring warm Gulf of Guinea sea surface temperatures (around 29°C), urban heat island amplification, and rainy season onset suppressing extremes beyond 33–34°C. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from an alternative verified station revealing a higher reading, though current reports show no discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Khối lượng
$105,539Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at 100% implied probability for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport station confirming a peak of 33°C amid partly cloudy mornings transitioning to afternoon thunderstorms that capped heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event NiMet outlooks and ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models projecting 32–33°C highs, consistent with May climatology featuring warm Gulf of Guinea sea surface temperatures (around 29°C), urban heat island amplification, and rainy season onset suppressing extremes beyond 33–34°C. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from an alternative verified station revealing a higher reading, though current reports show no discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$105,539Ngày kết thúc
May 7, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 33°C at 100% implied probability for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, 2026, backed by official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport station confirming a peak of 33°C amid partly cloudy mornings transitioning to afternoon thunderstorms that capped heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event NiMet outlooks and ensemble forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models projecting 32–33°C highs, consistent with May climatology featuring warm Gulf of Guinea sea surface temperatures (around 29°C), urban heat island amplification, and rainy season onset suppressing extremes beyond 33–34°C. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from an alternative verified station revealing a higher reading, though current reports show no discrepancies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp