Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 1?
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 交易量
$84,912 交易量
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
34°C or below 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$84,912 交易量
$84,912 交易量
34°C or below
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 33.3°C—6.1°C below seasonal norms—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "34°C or below." This unusually cool reading for early May stems from partly cloudy skies and possible light precipitation from a recent western disturbance, which curtailed solar insolation and daytime atmospheric heating despite forecasts anticipating around 37°C. With the 24-hour observation window closed, market resolution hinges on IMD's final verified data from Lucknow Airport station; upward revisions are improbable absent measurement errors, though extreme late-day spikes could theoretically challenge it if unrecorded. Traders eye IMD's daily bulletin for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions