Spain’s state meteorological agency recorded an official daily maximum of exactly 35°C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station on May 31, establishing the market’s near-certain outcome for that threshold. This measurement reflects the resolution criteria for the contract and aligns with broader late-May warmth across central Spain, where surface observations showed elevated temperatures amid typical early-summer atmospheric patterns. Historical May maxima at the same station have rarely exceeded 34°C in recent decades, underscoring the day’s outlier status within climatological baselines. Because the value falls squarely inside the 35°C bin and no measurement revisions are anticipated, trader consensus has consolidated around this result, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on May 31?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$79,257 交易量
$79,257 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$79,257 交易量
$79,257 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Spain’s state meteorological agency recorded an official daily maximum of exactly 35°C at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station on May 31, establishing the market’s near-certain outcome for that threshold. This measurement reflects the resolution criteria for the contract and aligns with broader late-May warmth across central Spain, where surface observations showed elevated temperatures amid typical early-summer atmospheric patterns. Historical May maxima at the same station have rarely exceeded 34°C in recent decades, underscoring the day’s outlier status within climatological baselines. Because the value falls squarely inside the 35°C bin and no measurement revisions are anticipated, trader consensus has consolidated around this result, with negligible probability assigned to adjacent ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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