PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on May 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 5?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,545 交易量
$38,545 交易量
2026-05-05
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$38,545 交易量
$38,545 交易量
2026-05-05
29°C or below
$982 交易量
No
30°C
$2,106 交易量
No
31°C
$2,207 交易量
No
32°C
$2,154 交易量
No
33°C
$4,471 交易量
No
34°C
$3,755 交易量
No
35°C
$6,631 交易量
Yes
36°C
$3,662 交易量
No
37°C
$8,619 交易量
No
38°C
$2,085 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,875 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$38,545结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,545结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA's 5:00 AM forecast for May 5 projects a maximum temperature of exactly 35°C at Manila's Port Area station under partly cloudy skies influenced by easterlies, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Yesterday's observed high reached 34.9°C amid similar conditions, aligning with Metro Manila's May climatology—averaging 34°C highs during the hot-dry season but occasionally spiking to 36°C due to urban heat island effects and solar insolation. Model ensembles show low variance around 35°C, with isolated rainshowers posing minimal risk of suppression. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies boosting shortwave radiation or unexpected convective cooling, though official observations through evening will confirm the peak, with top-10 highest temperatures updated in real time by PAGASA.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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