Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 交易量
$112,681 交易量
2026-06-04
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 交易量
$112,681 交易量
2026-06-04
75°F or below
$296 交易量
No
76-77°F
$1,469 交易量
No
78-79°F
$4,041 交易量
No
80-81°F
$4,241 交易量
No
82-83°F
$17,069 交易量
No
84-85°F
$20,788 交易量
No
86-87°F
$23,483 交易量
Yes
88-89°F
$15,575 交易量
No
90-91°F
$14,258 交易量
No
92-93°F
$7,029 交易量
No
94°F or higher
$4,432 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$112,681結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$112,681結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions