Trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty for a 68-69°F high in New York City on May 22 because official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum in that range. Following an early-week warm spell that briefly pushed readings into the low 70s, persistent high pressure, increased cloud cover, and light winds suppressed surface heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-May climatological norms. NOAA model consensus showed minimal spread around these values, and final afternoon updates confirmed the outcome without revision. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly exceeding documented observational uncertainty would alter the recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市5月22日的最高溫度?
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$101,106 交易量
$101,106 交易量
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
68-69°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$101,106 交易量
$101,106 交易量
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
是
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has consolidated at near-certainty for a 68-69°F high in New York City on May 22 because official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport and Central Park recorded a daily maximum in that range. Following an early-week warm spell that briefly pushed readings into the low 70s, persistent high pressure, increased cloud cover, and light winds suppressed surface heating and vertical mixing, keeping temperatures aligned with late-May climatological norms. NOAA model consensus showed minimal spread around these values, and final afternoon updates confirmed the outcome without revision. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly exceeding documented observational uncertainty would alter the recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions