Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$124,507 वॉल्यूम
$124,507 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$124,507 वॉल्यूम
$124,507 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
18°C or below
$3,438 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$1,701 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$6,091 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$10,672 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$13,060 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$24,636 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$19,535 वॉल्यूम
Yes
25°C
$17,201 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$12,693 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$7,312 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C or higher
$8,169 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$124,507समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$124,507समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 24°C in Shanghai on May 2, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's key stations, including Xujiahui Observatory, which recorded a daytime maximum of 24°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and brief sprinkles that capped solar heating. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from CMA updates, GFS, and ECMWF ensembles projecting 23-25°C peaks during early May's transitional monsoon conditions, where historical averages hover around 23°C influenced by East China Sea breezes and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution—only an unprecedented data revision from authoritative measurements could shift it, though airport stations like Hongqiao reported slightly higher 25°C due to microclimate variances irrelevant to market criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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