Skip to main content
icon for Survivor 50 Winner

Survivor 50 Winner

icon for Survivor 50 Winner

Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 79%

Cirie Fields 8.0%

Jonathan Young 3.3%

Rizo Velovic 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,275,654 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 79%

Cirie Fields 8.0%

Jonathan Young 3.3%

Rizo Velovic 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,275,654 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$175,988 Vol.

79%

Cirie Fields

$47,092 Vol.

8%

Jonathan Young

$67,859 Vol.

3%

Rizo Velovic

$88,072 Vol.

3%

Joe Hunter

$87,027 Vol.

2%

Ozzy Lusth

$71,221 Vol.

1%

Rick Devens

$49,274 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$39,726 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$32,599 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$51,129 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$35,626 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$26,373 Vol.

<1%

Christian Hubicki

$67,740 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$36,357 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$38,301 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$59,026 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$25,878 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$30,941 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$45,365 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$33,031 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$37,649 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$80,224 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$8,729 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$40,424 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at 79% implied probability to claim the Survivor 50 title, driven by her masterful navigation of the season's chaotic late-game twists, including the historic Blood Moon triple elimination in Episode 6 and paired vote-outs in Episode 8. Recent episodes spotlight Aubry's clutch idol management—such as the dramatic fake idol ploy involving Rick Devens and Christian Hubicki that preserved her position—along with editing cues emphasizing her strategic confessionals and jury-friendly social game, boosting her frontrunner momentum from 73% a week ago. Cirie Fields trails at 9.7% on her legendary resume, but lacks Aubry's visible endgame control. With finales looming around May 20, jury secrecy leaves room for upsets, though traders' real-money bets reflect strong confidence in Aubry's path to Final Tribal Council victory.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,275,654
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at 79% implied probability to claim the Survivor 50 title, driven by her masterful navigation of the season's chaotic late-game twists, including the historic Blood Moon triple elimination in Episode 6 and paired vote-outs in Episode 8. Recent episodes spotlight Aubry's clutch idol management—such as the dramatic fake idol ploy involving Rick Devens and Christian Hubicki that preserved her position—along with editing cues emphasizing her strategic confessionals and jury-friendly social game, boosting her frontrunner momentum from 73% a week ago. Cirie Fields trails at 9.7% on her legendary resume, but lacks Aubry's visible endgame control. With finales looming around May 20, jury secrecy leaves room for upsets, though traders' real-money bets reflect strong confidence in Aubry's path to Final Tribal Council victory.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,275,654
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 79%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.