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Survivor 50 Winner

icon for Survivor 50 Winner

Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 84%

Cirie Fields 9.3%

Joe Hunter 6.0%

Jonathan Young 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,320,110 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 84%

Cirie Fields 9.3%

Joe Hunter 6.0%

Jonathan Young 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,320,110 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$197,831 Vol.

84%

Cirie Fields

$47,601 Vol.

9%

Joe Hunter

$87,956 Vol.

6%

Jonathan Young

$68,574 Vol.

2%

Rizo Velovic

$88,620 Vol.

2%

Rick Devens

$49,897 Vol.

<1%

Ozzy Lusth

$71,293 Vol.

<1%

Christian Hubicki

$69,259 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$39,069 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$36,357 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$59,026 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$26,883 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$30,946 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$43,817 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$38,587 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$54,703 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$33,062 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$9,105 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$45,365 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$36,024 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$26,837 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$37,649 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$80,224 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$41,424 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 84% implied probability, fueled by her savvy navigation of recent endgame twists, including surviving a targeted spot in the historic April 15 "Double Duo" pair vote—where she and Rick Devens dodged elimination via a fake idol ploy and Cirie Fields' pivot against Coach Wade and Chrissy Hofbeck—and holding a key immunity idol into the final 10. Cirie Fields trails at 11% after wielding her Exile Island immunity and extra vote to orchestrate the double boot, bolstering her jury-threat narrative despite past non-wins. Joe Hunter's pair immunity win with Tiffany Ervin keeps him viable at 6%, but Aubry's alliance control and strategic resume from three prior seasons drive the lopsided odds amid volatile eliminations like Christian Hubicki last week; final tribals loom with idols and advantages in play.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,320,110
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Aubry Bracco as the overwhelming Survivor 50 frontrunner at 84% implied probability, fueled by her savvy navigation of recent endgame twists, including surviving a targeted spot in the historic April 15 "Double Duo" pair vote—where she and Rick Devens dodged elimination via a fake idol ploy and Cirie Fields' pivot against Coach Wade and Chrissy Hofbeck—and holding a key immunity idol into the final 10. Cirie Fields trails at 11% after wielding her Exile Island immunity and extra vote to orchestrate the double boot, bolstering her jury-threat narrative despite past non-wins. Joe Hunter's pair immunity win with Tiffany Ervin keeps him viable at 6%, but Aubry's alliance control and strategic resume from three prior seasons drive the lopsided odds amid volatile eliminations like Christian Hubicki last week; final tribals loom with idols and advantages in play.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,320,110
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 84%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.