Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 86.5% implied probability to hold the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its current #2 position behind ChatGPT amid fierce AI assistant competition. Claude's sustained high ranking stems from a massive February download surge—overtaking ChatGPT after Anthropic rejected a Pentagon deal requiring unrestricted AI access, sparking 295% ChatGPT uninstalls and boosting Claude to #1 temporarily. Recent Apple charts confirm Claude at #2 or #3, with TurboTax fading post-tax deadline (2.5% odds). Netflix Game Controller (33.5%) and Meta AI (30.0%) show volatility from gaming pushes and AI features, but Claude's momentum positions it strongly ahead of tomorrow's resolution snapshot, barring last-minute surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourClaude by Anthropic 90%
Netflix Game Controller 34%
ChatGPT 21%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 19%

Claude by Anthropic
86%

Netflix Game Controller
34%

ChatGPT
21%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
19%

Google Gemini
16%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
2%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
Claude by Anthropic 90%
Netflix Game Controller 34%
ChatGPT 21%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 19%

Claude by Anthropic
86%

Netflix Game Controller
34%

ChatGPT
21%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
19%

Google Gemini
16%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
2%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 86.5% implied probability to hold the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, reflecting its current #2 position behind ChatGPT amid fierce AI assistant competition. Claude's sustained high ranking stems from a massive February download surge—overtaking ChatGPT after Anthropic rejected a Pentagon deal requiring unrestricted AI access, sparking 295% ChatGPT uninstalls and boosting Claude to #1 temporarily. Recent Apple charts confirm Claude at #2 or #3, with TurboTax fading post-tax deadline (2.5% odds). Netflix Game Controller (33.5%) and Meta AI (30.0%) show volatility from gaming pushes and AI features, but Claude's momentum positions it strongly ahead of tomorrow's resolution snapshot, barring last-minute surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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