As top chalk holds into the Elite Eight on March 28, Arizona commands trader consensus at 27% implied probability after a dominant Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, leveraging full health and depth against injury-depleted rivals like Duke (Caleb Foster out with foot surgery) and Michigan, both at 22.5% despite their stellar regular-season marks (Duke 32-2, Michigan 31-3). Illinois surged to 12% by ousting Houston, injecting grit into their South Region clash with 9-seed Iowa upset artist. Purdue (5%) and UConn (5%) remain live threats facing Arizona and Duke, while Tennessee (2.5%) eyes Michigan—keeping the field bunched amid balanced paths, recent close calls like Duke's 80-75 win over St. John's, and upset potential in a wide-open bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourArizona 26.7%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,079,766 Vol.
$22,079,766 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
1%
Arizona 26.7%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 12.0%
$22,079,766 Vol.
$22,079,766 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Marché ouvert : Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
As top chalk holds into the Elite Eight on March 28, Arizona commands trader consensus at 27% implied probability after a dominant Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, leveraging full health and depth against injury-depleted rivals like Duke (Caleb Foster out with foot surgery) and Michigan, both at 22.5% despite their stellar regular-season marks (Duke 32-2, Michigan 31-3). Illinois surged to 12% by ousting Houston, injecting grit into their South Region clash with 9-seed Iowa upset artist. Purdue (5%) and UConn (5%) remain live threats facing Arizona and Duke, while Tennessee (2.5%) eyes Michigan—keeping the field bunched amid balanced paths, recent close calls like Duke's 80-75 win over St. John's, and upset potential in a wide-open bracket.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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