As the 2026 NCAA Tournament reaches the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus clusters tightly around top seeds Arizona (West No. 1), Michigan (Midwest No. 1), and Duke (East No. 1) after their commanding Sweet 16 wins—Arizona's explosive 109-88 rout of Arkansas underscoring offensive depth, Michigan's methodical dominance over lower seeds, Duke's gritty rally past St. John's despite lingering injuries to point guard Caleb Foster and center Patrick Ngongba II, and Illinois' (South No. 3) defensive clampdown in a 65-55 upset of Houston. Single-elimination volatility looms with pivotal regional finals like Arizona vs. Purdue, Illinois vs. ninth-seeded Iowa, and Michigan facing Tennessee or Iowa State, balancing paths and fueling the narrow spread among blue-blood contenders with proven March form and home-region advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourArizona 26.8%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 11.9%
$22,023,337 Vol.
$22,023,337 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
2%
Arizona 26.8%
Michigan 23%
Duke 23%
Illinois 11.9%
$22,023,337 Vol.
$22,023,337 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
23%
Duke
23%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
3%
Iowa
2%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Marché ouvert : Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...As the 2026 NCAA Tournament reaches the Elite Eight on March 28, trader consensus clusters tightly around top seeds Arizona (West No. 1), Michigan (Midwest No. 1), and Duke (East No. 1) after their commanding Sweet 16 wins—Arizona's explosive 109-88 rout of Arkansas underscoring offensive depth, Michigan's methodical dominance over lower seeds, Duke's gritty rally past St. John's despite lingering injuries to point guard Caleb Foster and center Patrick Ngongba II, and Illinois' (South No. 3) defensive clampdown in a 65-55 upset of Houston. Single-elimination volatility looms with pivotal regional finals like Arizona vs. Purdue, Illinois vs. ninth-seeded Iowa, and Michigan facing Tennessee or Iowa State, balancing paths and fueling the narrow spread among blue-blood contenders with proven March form and home-region advantages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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