Chengdu Rongcheng holds a commanding position atop the 2026 Chinese Super League table after 21 rounds, with 45 points and a +21 goal difference that reflects consistent attacking output and defensive organization under coach John Aloisi. Their strong form since the March kickoff, including an early double-digit lead established by mid-May, has translated into trader consensus reflected in the 92% implied probability. Key supporting elements include a balanced squad with reliable contributions from players like Wei Shihao and minimal major disruptions from the injury list. While a significant late-season slump, multiple key absences, or an extended winning streak from pursuers such as Shanghai Shenhua or Shandong Taishan could narrow the gap, the current margin and remaining schedule make a turnaround challenging.