António Guterres continues serving his second term as UN Secretary-General, scheduled to conclude on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already advancing through candidate nominations and interactive dialogues among member states. Multiple nominees, including figures from Latin America and Africa, have participated in regional forums and Security Council consultations throughout 2026, reflecting standard transition procedures rather than any push for early removal. Guterres has publicly outlined priorities for his final year, focusing on peace initiatives and multilateral cooperation, consistent with completing his mandate without reported institutional actions or diplomatic pressures suggesting an earlier exit. This established timeline and orderly succession framework underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 76% probability for "No."
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres continues serving his second term as UN Secretary-General, scheduled to conclude on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already advancing through candidate nominations and interactive dialogues among member states. Multiple nominees, including figures from Latin America and Africa, have participated in regional forums and Security Council consultations throughout 2026, reflecting standard transition procedures rather than any push for early removal. Guterres has publicly outlined priorities for his final year, focusing on peace initiatives and multilateral cooperation, consistent with completing his mandate without reported institutional actions or diplomatic pressures suggesting an earlier exit. This established timeline and orderly succession framework underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 76% probability for "No."
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes