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icon for António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

icon for António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

24% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
24% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres continues serving his second term as UN Secretary-General, scheduled to conclude on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already advancing through candidate nominations and interactive dialogues among member states. Multiple nominees, including figures from Latin America and Africa, have participated in regional forums and Security Council consultations throughout 2026, reflecting standard transition procedures rather than any push for early removal. Guterres has publicly outlined priorities for his final year, focusing on peace initiatives and multilateral cooperation, consistent with completing his mandate without reported institutional actions or diplomatic pressures suggesting an earlier exit. This established timeline and orderly succession framework underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 76% probability for "No."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,213
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.António Guterres continues serving his second term as UN Secretary-General, scheduled to conclude on 31 December 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already advancing through candidate nominations and interactive dialogues among member states. Multiple nominees, including figures from Latin America and Africa, have participated in regional forums and Security Council consultations throughout 2026, reflecting standard transition procedures rather than any push for early removal. Guterres has publicly outlined priorities for his final year, focusing on peace initiatives and multilateral cooperation, consistent with completing his mandate without reported institutional actions or diplomatic pressures suggesting an earlier exit. This established timeline and orderly succession framework underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 76% probability for "No."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,213
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« António Guterres out by December 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 24% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 24¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« António Guterres out by December 31? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 21, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « António Guterres out by December 31? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « António Guterres out by December 31? » est de 24% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 24% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « António Guterres out by December 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.