Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability for no change in Banxico's policy rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's contentious 3-2 vote to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation. March CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year from 4.02% in February—driven by non-core pressures—pushing prices further above the 3% target midpoint and prompting Governor comments that the easing cycle is nearing completion. Core inflation held steady, but the inflation spike has tempered cut expectations, with a 26.5% chance of further easing and hikes near zero. Traders eye April CPI data this week for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque du Mexique en mai
Décision de la Banque du Mexique en mai
Aucun changement 73%
Baisse 27%
Augmentation <1%
$53,935 Vol.
$53,935 Vol.
Baisse
27%
Aucun changement
73%
Augmentation
1%
Aucun changement 73%
Baisse 27%
Augmentation <1%
$53,935 Vol.
$53,935 Vol.
Baisse
27%
Aucun changement
73%
Augmentation
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 73% implied probability for no change in Banxico's policy rate at its May 7 meeting, reflecting caution after the central bank's contentious 3-2 vote to cut 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26 amid rising headline inflation. March CPI accelerated to 4.59% year-over-year from 4.02% in February—driven by non-core pressures—pushing prices further above the 3% target midpoint and prompting Governor comments that the easing cycle is nearing completion. Core inflation held steady, but the inflation spike has tempered cut expectations, with a 26.5% chance of further easing and hikes near zero. Traders eye April CPI data this week for potential shifts ahead of the decision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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