Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke often leading or tied near 20%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD around 18% and the Greens near 16%, while the SPD trails further back. This clustering among the top four contenders creates substantial uncertainty over exact placements, particularly for third position, as small shifts in voter turnout or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle ranks. Trader consensus on AfD, Greens, and CDU probabilities for third reflects their comparable polling averages and historical volatility in Berlin results, with lower odds on Linke and SPD tied to their current trajectories. Upcoming final polls and turnout patterns in key districts remain key variables that could widen or narrow these gaps before election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAfD 39%
Les Verts 28%
CDU 27%
Linke 10%
$24,912 Vol.
$24,912 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
39%
Les Verts
28%
CDU
27%
Linke
10%
SPD
3%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 39%
Les Verts 28%
CDU 27%
Linke 10%
$24,912 Vol.
$24,912 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
$6,086 Vol.
39%
Les Verts
$3,894 Vol.
28%
CDU
$6,201 Vol.
27%
Linke
$4,868 Vol.
10%
SPD
$1,567 Vol.
3%
FDP
$888 Vol.
<1%
FW
$620 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$789 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke often leading or tied near 20%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD around 18% and the Greens near 16%, while the SPD trails further back. This clustering among the top four contenders creates substantial uncertainty over exact placements, particularly for third position, as small shifts in voter turnout or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle ranks. Trader consensus on AfD, Greens, and CDU probabilities for third reflects their comparable polling averages and historical volatility in Berlin results, with lower odds on Linke and SPD tied to their current trajectories. Upcoming final polls and turnout patterns in key districts remain key variables that could widen or narrow these gaps before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$24,912Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke often leading or tied near 20%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD around 18% and the Greens near 16%, while the SPD trails further back. This clustering among the top four contenders creates substantial uncertainty over exact placements, particularly for third position, as small shifts in voter turnout or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle ranks. Trader consensus on AfD, Greens, and CDU probabilities for third reflects their comparable polling averages and historical volatility in Berlin results, with lower odds on Linke and SPD tied to their current trajectories. Upcoming final polls and turnout patterns in key districts remain key variables that could widen or narrow these gaps before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$24,912Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a tight multi-party contest, with Die Linke often leading or tied near 20%, followed closely by the CDU and AfD around 18% and the Greens near 16%, while the SPD trails further back. This clustering among the top four contenders creates substantial uncertainty over exact placements, particularly for third position, as small shifts in voter turnout or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle ranks. Trader consensus on AfD, Greens, and CDU probabilities for third reflects their comparable polling averages and historical volatility in Berlin results, with lower odds on Linke and SPD tied to their current trajectories. Upcoming final polls and turnout patterns in key districts remain key variables that could widen or narrow these gaps before election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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