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icon for Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare
Politique·Bulgarie

Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare

icon for Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare
Politique·Bulgarie

Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare

Iliana Iotova 78%

Andrey Gyurov 16.6%

Kostadin Kostadinov 5%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 4.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Iliana Iotova 78%

Andrey Gyurov 16.6%

Kostadin Kostadinov 5%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 4.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Iliana Iotova

Iliana Iotova

$244 Vol.

78%

icon for Andrey Gyurov

Andrey Gyurov

$127 Vol.

17%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$44 Vol.

5%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$44 Vol.

4%

icon for Vassil Terziev

Vassil Terziev

$44 Vol.

4%

icon for Natalia Kiselova

Natalia Kiselova

$44 Vol.

4%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$26 Vol.

4%

icon for Blagomir Kotsev

Blagomir Kotsev

$44 Vol.

4%

icon for Yanaki Stoilov

Yanaki Stoilov

$44 Vol.

4%

icon for Rosen Plevneliev

Rosen Plevneliev

$44 Vol.

4%

icon for Atanas Atanasov

Atanas Atanasov

$44 Vol.

3%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$44 Vol.

3%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$44 Vol.

3%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$44 Vol.

3%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).**Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 25 first-round outcome, driven by her status as incumbent president since January 2026 and unified backing from Progressive Bulgaria—the party that secured a parliamentary majority in April—along with BSP-OL and allied groups.** She registered via an initiative committee with Kiril Valchev as running mate, following unanimous BSP endorsement and a July Global Metrics poll showing her with roughly 50% initial support. Andrey Gyurov, the main challenger backed by PP-DB and a former caretaker prime minister, trails at lower odds amid a fragmented field of over two dozen registered candidates whose registrations closed on September 22. The Central Election Commission drew ballot numbers on September 23, with the campaign opening September 25. Multiple lower-polling contenders, including Kostadin Kostadinov and others, further split opposition votes, reinforcing Iotova’s frontrunner position ahead of the two-round system.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$884
Date de fin
25 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47de9d...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).**Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 25 first-round outcome, driven by her status as incumbent president since January 2026 and unified backing from Progressive Bulgaria—the party that secured a parliamentary majority in April—along with BSP-OL and allied groups.** She registered via an initiative committee with Kiril Valchev as running mate, following unanimous BSP endorsement and a July Global Metrics poll showing her with roughly 50% initial support. Andrey Gyurov, the main challenger backed by PP-DB and a former caretaker prime minister, trails at lower odds amid a fragmented field of over two dozen registered candidates whose registrations closed on September 22. The Central Election Commission drew ballot numbers on September 23, with the campaign opening September 25. Multiple lower-polling contenders, including Kostadin Kostadinov and others, further split opposition votes, reinforcing Iotova’s frontrunner position ahead of the two-round system.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$884
Date de fin
25 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47de9d...

Connexes

icon for Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

10%
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

71%
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?

48%

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Iliana Iotova » à 83%, suivi de « Andrey Gyurov » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 23, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare » est « Iliana Iotova » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Andrey Gyurov » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur du premier tour de l'élection présidentielle bulgare » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.