Union Berlin holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for victory over FC St. Pauli, driven by their ninth-place Bundesliga standing with 31 points versus St. Pauli's 16th-place relegation playoff position on 24 points after 27 matchdays. Recent form shows Union coming off a 4-0 loss to Bayern Munich but with two wins in their last five, bolstered by Andras Schäfer's return from suspension, while backup goalkeeper Matheo Raab remains sidelined with a hand injury. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog odds stem from a winless run in three league games, including a 2-1 home defeat to Freiburg, compounded by defensive injuries to Eric Smith (calf), James Sands (ankle, season-ending), Lars Ritzka, and Manolis Saliakas. Union's perfect six-match home head-to-head streak against St. Pauli and the visitors' poor away record—six losses in seven—support the closely contested pricing, with draw at 29.5% viable given both teams' low-scoring trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for victory over FC St. Pauli, driven by their ninth-place Bundesliga standing with 31 points versus St. Pauli's 16th-place relegation playoff position on 24 points after 27 matchdays. Recent form shows Union coming off a 4-0 loss to Bayern Munich but with two wins in their last five, bolstered by Andras Schäfer's return from suspension, while backup goalkeeper Matheo Raab remains sidelined with a hand injury. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog odds stem from a winless run in three league games, including a 2-1 home defeat to Freiburg, compounded by defensive injuries to Eric Smith (calf), James Sands (ankle, season-ending), Lars Ritzka, and Manolis Saliakas. Union's perfect six-match home head-to-head streak against St. Pauli and the visitors' poor away record—six losses in seven—support the closely contested pricing, with draw at 29.5% viable given both teams' low-scoring trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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