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Élections·Primaire De La Maison

CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Élections·Primaire De La Maison

CA-06 Primary Winners

$6,507 Vol.

2 juin 2026
Polymarket

$6,507 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Pan

$459 Vol.

98%

Kevin Kiley

$717 Vol.

97%

Thien Ho

$1,506 Vol.

1%

Tyler Vandenberg

$799 Vol.

1%

Martha Guerrero

$614 Vol.

1%

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 Vol.

1%

Michael Stansfield

$1,400 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent after switching districts and party registration following redistricting, leads early returns in the June 2 California nonpartisan primary for the 6th congressional district, with Republican Michael Stansfield holding an unexpected second place ahead of Democrat Richard Pan.** A crowded field of Democratic candidates, including Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, has fragmented support in the Sacramento-area seat previously held by Ami Bera. Stansfield, a low-profile contender with minimal campaign resources, benefited from this split while Kiley consolidated backing in the redrawn district. Thousands of ballots remain outstanding, and later-counted votes—often more Democratic-leaning—could shift final top-two placements that advance to the November general election. No other major developments have altered the race since primary day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,507
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent after switching districts and party registration following redistricting, leads early returns in the June 2 California nonpartisan primary for the 6th congressional district, with Republican Michael Stansfield holding an unexpected second place ahead of Democrat Richard Pan.** A crowded field of Democratic candidates, including Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, has fragmented support in the Sacramento-area seat previously held by Ami Bera. Stansfield, a low-profile contender with minimal campaign resources, benefited from this split while Kiley consolidated backing in the redrawn district. Thousands of ballots remain outstanding, and later-counted votes—often more Democratic-leaning—could shift final top-two placements that advance to the November general election. No other major developments have altered the race since primary day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,507
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« CA-06 Primary Winners » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Richard Pan » à 98%, suivi de « Kevin Kiley » à 97%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-06 Primary Winners » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-06 Primary Winners », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-06 Primary Winners » est « Richard Pan » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kevin Kiley » à 97%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-06 Primary Winners » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.