Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima governor election market at 81 percent after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in August 2026, following her registration in the June internal process alongside Griselda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. The move, backed by incumbent governor Indira Vizcaíno, positions Bayardo as the presumptive nominee for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition ahead of the June 2027 vote. Earlier 2026 surveys showed her ahead in Morena preferences and the party holding a statewide edge near 34 percent. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Mely Romero Celis (PRI) trail at single-digit probabilities, reflecting the coalition’s structural advantage and the absence of consolidated challengers this far from election day. Trader pricing incorporates these internal and polling signals while noting that formal candidacies and alliances remain subject to later confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 7.3%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 6.9%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 4.8%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
7%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
7%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
5%

Joel Padilla Peña
4%

Margarita Moreno González
3%

María Cristina Lupien
2%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

José Israel González
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
<1%

César Yáñez Centeno
<1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
<1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
<1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 7.3%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 6.9%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 4.8%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
7%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
7%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
5%

Joel Padilla Peña
4%

Margarita Moreno González
3%

María Cristina Lupien
2%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

José Israel González
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
<1%

César Yáñez Centeno
<1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
<1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
<1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads the Colima governor election market at 81 percent after Morena designated her coordinator of the Defensa de la Transformación in August 2026, following her registration in the June internal process alongside Griselda Valencia de la Mora and Joel Padilla Peña. The move, backed by incumbent governor Indira Vizcaíno, positions Bayardo as the presumptive nominee for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition ahead of the June 2027 vote. Earlier 2026 surveys showed her ahead in Morena preferences and the party holding a statewide edge near 34 percent. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez (PAN) and Mely Romero Celis (PRI) trail at single-digit probabilities, reflecting the coalition’s structural advantage and the absence of consolidated challengers this far from election day. Trader pricing incorporates these internal and polling signals while noting that formal candidacies and alliances remain subject to later confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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