**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in custody since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, money laundering, and organized crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Multiple additional proceedings have advanced in parallel, including a September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official that imposed a 2-year, 1-month prison term plus a political ban. The primary corruption case, involving over 400 defendants and a lengthy indictment, began trial proceedings in March 2026 and faces an extended timeline. Appeals in the recent case remain possible, yet the cumulative legal exposure and procedural trajectory have produced strong trader consensus that release before the end of 2026 is improbable. No major intervening developments, such as acquittals or executive interventions, have altered this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour6% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
6% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in custody since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, money laundering, and organized crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Multiple additional proceedings have advanced in parallel, including a September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official that imposed a 2-year, 1-month prison term plus a political ban. The primary corruption case, involving over 400 defendants and a lengthy indictment, began trial proceedings in March 2026 and faces an extended timeline. Appeals in the recent case remain possible, yet the cumulative legal exposure and procedural trajectory have produced strong trader consensus that release before the end of 2026 is improbable. No major intervening developments, such as acquittals or executive interventions, have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Volume
$6,407Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in custody since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, money laundering, and organized crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Multiple additional proceedings have advanced in parallel, including a September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official that imposed a 2-year, 1-month prison term plus a political ban. The primary corruption case, involving over 400 defendants and a lengthy indictment, began trial proceedings in March 2026 and faces an extended timeline. Appeals in the recent case remain possible, yet the cumulative legal exposure and procedural trajectory have produced strong trader consensus that release before the end of 2026 is improbable. No major intervening developments, such as acquittals or executive interventions, have altered this positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,407Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in custody since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, money laundering, and organized crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Multiple additional proceedings have advanced in parallel, including a September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official that imposed a 2-year, 1-month prison term plus a political ban. The primary corruption case, involving over 400 defendants and a lengthy indictment, began trial proceedings in March 2026 and faces an extended timeline. Appeals in the recent case remain possible, yet the cumulative legal exposure and procedural trajectory have produced strong trader consensus that release before the end of 2026 is improbable. No major intervening developments, such as acquittals or executive interventions, have altered this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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