Trader consensus favors Portugal at 50.5% implied probability in this World Cup 2026 warmup friendly at Estadio Banorte, driven primarily by Mexico's extensive injury crisis that has sidelined up to 12 key players including Edson Álvarez, Santiago Giménez, Marcel Ruiz (torn ACL), Luis Malagón, and Luis Chávez, severely depleting Javier Aguirre's squad depth just months before the tournament. Portugal, despite absences like Cristiano Ronaldo (hamstring), Bernardo Silva, Rafael Leão (adductor), and Diogo Costa, boasts superior talent with Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, and João Neves available, maintaining their edge over a home side hampered by altitude and roster shortages. Recent squad announcements over the past week underscore these gaps, tightening the contest while pricing a draw at 26.5% amid friendly unpredictability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Portugal at 50.5% implied probability in this World Cup 2026 warmup friendly at Estadio Banorte, driven primarily by Mexico's extensive injury crisis that has sidelined up to 12 key players including Edson Álvarez, Santiago Giménez, Marcel Ruiz (torn ACL), Luis Malagón, and Luis Chávez, severely depleting Javier Aguirre's squad depth just months before the tournament. Portugal, despite absences like Cristiano Ronaldo (hamstring), Bernardo Silva, Rafael Leão (adductor), and Diogo Costa, boasts superior talent with Bruno Fernandes, Vitinha, and João Neves available, maintaining their edge over a home side hampered by altitude and roster shortages. Recent squad announcements over the past week underscore these gaps, tightening the contest while pricing a draw at 26.5% amid friendly unpredictability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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