Canada's 49% implied probability as slight favorites in their FIFA World Cup Group B opener against Bosnia and Herzegovina on June 12 at Toronto's BMO Field stems from home-soil advantage as co-hosts and a higher FIFA ranking (30th vs. Bosnia's 65th), bolstered by recent draws like 0-0 vs. Tunisia. However, trader consensus prices a draw at 25.5% and Bosnia at 23% due to the visitors' heroic playoff run, capped by a March 31 penalty shootout upset over Italy after rallying from deficits, boosting their momentum despite Edin Džeko's shoulder knock. Canada's injury list—Alphonso Davies (hamstring), Stephen Eustáquio (knee), Ralph Priso (hamstring out 8-10 weeks)—clouds their edge in this closely contested matchup with no head-to-head history.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIf Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada's 49% implied probability as slight favorites in their FIFA World Cup Group B opener against Bosnia and Herzegovina on June 12 at Toronto's BMO Field stems from home-soil advantage as co-hosts and a higher FIFA ranking (30th vs. Bosnia's 65th), bolstered by recent draws like 0-0 vs. Tunisia. However, trader consensus prices a draw at 25.5% and Bosnia at 23% due to the visitors' heroic playoff run, capped by a March 31 penalty shootout upset over Italy after rallying from deficits, boosting their momentum despite Edin Džeko's shoulder knock. Canada's injury list—Alphonso Davies (hamstring), Stephen Eustáquio (knee), Ralph Priso (hamstring out 8-10 weeks)—clouds their edge in this closely contested matchup with no head-to-head history.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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