Lille's commanding 60.5% implied probability stems from their third-place standing in Ligue 1, bolstered by a dominant 3-0 derby win over Lens last weekend that extended their strong home form at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Les Dogues boast a robust defense with just 29 goals conceded, contrasting sharply with OGC Nice's struggles in 15th position amid a relegation scrap, highlighted by a recent 3-1 loss to Strasbourg and poor away record. Nice's defensive woes deepen with long-term absences like centre-back Moïse Bombito (lower leg fracture) and Everton (ankle), while Lille copes without Osame Sahraoui (groin, mid-April doubt) but maintains depth. Head-to-head tilts toward competitive draws, supporting the 23.5% draw pricing, though Nice's upset path at 16.5% faces significant barriers from form disparity and injuries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf Lille OSC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.ligue1.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Lille OSC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.ligue1.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lille's commanding 60.5% implied probability stems from their third-place standing in Ligue 1, bolstered by a dominant 3-0 derby win over Lens last weekend that extended their strong home form at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Les Dogues boast a robust defense with just 29 goals conceded, contrasting sharply with OGC Nice's struggles in 15th position amid a relegation scrap, highlighted by a recent 3-1 loss to Strasbourg and poor away record. Nice's defensive woes deepen with long-term absences like centre-back Moïse Bombito (lower leg fracture) and Everton (ankle), while Lille copes without Osame Sahraoui (groin, mid-April doubt) but maintains depth. Head-to-head tilts toward competitive draws, supporting the 23.5% draw pricing, though Nice's upset path at 16.5% faces significant barriers from form disparity and injuries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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