HawkEye 360's IPO roadshow, launched April 27, 2026, drives trader consensus toward a fully diluted market cap near $2.4 billion at the targeted $24–$26 share price range for 16 million shares, implying up to $416 million raised on the NYSE under ticker HAWK. Evenly split implied probabilities across market cap bins reflect high uncertainty amid volatile space-defense sector valuations, fueled by 74% revenue growth to $117.7 million in 2025, $2.7 million net income, and a $303 million contract backlog, yet tempered by integration risks from recent acquisitions and broader equity market risk appetite. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and peer multiples; pricing expected imminently ahead of a May 7 listing, with no-IPO odds highlighting potential delays from regulatory scrutiny.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$2.5B–$3.25B 100.0%
<$2.5B <1%
$3.25B–$4.0B <1%
$4.0B–$4.75B <1%
$10,176 Vol.
$10,176 Vol.
7 mai 2026
<$2.5B
No
$2.5B–$3.25B
Yes
$3.25B–$4.0B
No
$4.0B–$4.75B
No
$4.75B+
No
No IPO before July 2026
No
$2.5B–$3.25B 100.0%
<$2.5B <1%
$3.25B–$4.0B <1%
$4.0B–$4.75B <1%
$10,176 Vol.
$10,176 Vol.
7 mai 2026
<$2.5B
$2,675 Vol.
No
$2.5B–$3.25B
$2,852 Vol.
Yes
$3.25B–$4.0B
$2,076 Vol.
No
$4.0B–$4.75B
$976 Vol.
No
$4.75B+
$855 Vol.
No
No IPO before July 2026
$742 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on HawkEye 360's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.HawkEye 360's IPO roadshow, launched April 27, 2026, drives trader consensus toward a fully diluted market cap near $2.4 billion at the targeted $24–$26 share price range for 16 million shares, implying up to $416 million raised on the NYSE under ticker HAWK. Evenly split implied probabilities across market cap bins reflect high uncertainty amid volatile space-defense sector valuations, fueled by 74% revenue growth to $117.7 million in 2025, $2.7 million net income, and a $303 million contract backlog, yet tempered by integration risks from recent acquisitions and broader equity market risk appetite. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and peer multiples; pricing expected imminently ahead of a May 7 listing, with no-IPO odds highlighting potential delays from regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on HawkEye 360's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : May 5, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$10,176Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve based on HawkEye 360's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.HawkEye 360's IPO roadshow, launched April 27, 2026, drives trader consensus toward a fully diluted market cap near $2.4 billion at the targeted $24–$26 share price range for 16 million shares, implying up to $416 million raised on the NYSE under ticker HAWK. Evenly split implied probabilities across market cap bins reflect high uncertainty amid volatile space-defense sector valuations, fueled by 74% revenue growth to $117.7 million in 2025, $2.7 million net income, and a $303 million contract backlog, yet tempered by integration risks from recent acquisitions and broader equity market risk appetite. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and peer multiples; pricing expected imminently ahead of a May 7 listing, with no-IPO odds highlighting potential delays from regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on HawkEye 360's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 7 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$10,176Date de fin
7 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 5, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
HawkEye 360's IPO roadshow, launched April 27, 2026, drives trader consensus toward a fully diluted market cap near $2.4 billion at the targeted $24–$26 share price range for 16 million shares, implying up to $416 million raised on the NYSE under ticker HAWK. Evenly split implied probabilities across market cap bins reflect high uncertainty amid volatile space-defense sector valuations, fueled by 74% revenue growth to $117.7 million in 2025, $2.7 million net income, and a $303 million contract backlog, yet tempered by integration risks from recent acquisitions and broader equity market risk appetite. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and peer multiples; pricing expected imminently ahead of a May 7 listing, with no-IPO odds highlighting potential delays from regulatory scrutiny.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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