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Politique·Arrêt Du Gouvernement

Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ?

Market icon
Politique·Arrêt Du Gouvernement

Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ?

mars 14

mars 14

Polymarket

$1,435,242 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,435,242 Vol.

70+ jours

$30,083 Vol.

84%

80+ jours

$31,965 Vol.

58%

90+ jours

$38,335 Vol.

45%

100+ jours

$0 Vol.

50%

110+ jours

$0 Vol.

50%

120+ jours

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over 60 days since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse on FY2026 appropriations amid disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP. Congress returned from recess on April 14 without agreement, as House Republicans reject Senate-passed bipartisan continuing resolutions unless paired with border security reforms, prolonging furloughs despite DHS recalling thousands of staff and a presidential memorandum authorizing backpay. Recent impacts include slowed 2026 World Cup security planning and strains on FEMA and cybersecurity operations. Traders watch for imminent House floor votes or a short-term continuing resolution through May, which could resolve the standoff swiftly if GOP leadership unifies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,435,242
Date de fin
14 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over 60 days since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse on FY2026 appropriations amid disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP. Congress returned from recess on April 14 without agreement, as House Republicans reject Senate-passed bipartisan continuing resolutions unless paired with border security reforms, prolonging furloughs despite DHS recalling thousands of staff and a presidential memorandum authorizing backpay. Recent impacts include slowed 2026 World Cup security planning and strains on FEMA and cybersecurity operations. Traders watch for imminent House floor votes or a short-term continuing resolution through May, which could resolve the standoff swiftly if GOP leadership unifies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,435,242
Date de fin
14 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 18 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3+ jours » à 100%, suivi de « 5+ jours » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ? » a généré $1.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 15, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ? », parcourez les 18 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ? » est « 3+ jours » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 5+ jours » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de temps durera l'arrêt du DHS ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.