**No engagement has been officially announced or confirmed as of early August 2026**, leaving roughly five months for the market to resolve and supporting the 82.5% implied probability on “No.” The couple, who began dating in 2023 and went public later that year, have maintained a low-key but visible relationship marked by joint appearances at the 2026 Oscars and public displays of affection at the FIFA World Cup final in July. January insider reports noted they had discussed engagement and were essentially living together, yet no proposal, ring, or statement has materialized. Celebrity timelines often shift quickly, and without verified developments or statements from either party, traders appear to be pricing in the absence of concrete progress against the calendar.