Real Sociedad's solid home form and seventh-place standing in La Liga, just three points off a European spot, underpin trader consensus at 55.5% for a home win against 15th-placed Alavés, despite the visitors' unbeaten run in their last three matches under Quique Sánchez Flores. Sociedad's recent 2-0 victory over Levante provides momentum in their top-six push, though injuries to key midfielders like Yangel Herrera (calf) and Igor Zubeldia (hamstring), plus doubts over Ander Barrenetxea, limit rotation options ahead of the Copa del Rey final. Alavés' poor away record and -11 goal difference keep them at 19.5%, but recent head-to-head success—winning the last three La Liga clashes—fuels the 25.5% draw probability in this Basque derby.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Real Sociedad de Fútbol wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Sociedad's solid home form and seventh-place standing in La Liga, just three points off a European spot, underpin trader consensus at 55.5% for a home win against 15th-placed Alavés, despite the visitors' unbeaten run in their last three matches under Quique Sánchez Flores. Sociedad's recent 2-0 victory over Levante provides momentum in their top-six push, though injuries to key midfielders like Yangel Herrera (calf) and Igor Zubeldia (hamstring), plus doubts over Ander Barrenetxea, limit rotation options ahead of the Copa del Rey final. Alavés' poor away record and -11 goal difference keep them at 19.5%, but recent head-to-head success—winning the last three La Liga clashes—fuels the 25.5% draw probability in this Basque derby.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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