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Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13

Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13

Donavan McKinney 82%

Shri Thanedar 18%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$44,987 Vol.

Donavan McKinney 82%

Shri Thanedar 18%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$44,987 Vol.

Donavan McKinney

$32,513 Vol.

82%

Shri Thanedar

$9,493 Vol.

18%

Shelby Campbell

$840 Vol.

<1%

Anthony Carbonaro

$1,302 Vol.

<1%

Nazmul Hassan

$838 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Donavan McKinney holds the lead in trader consensus for the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary in Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, driven by a series of high-profile progressive endorsements and perceptions of stronger grassroots organizing in the heavily Democratic Detroit-area seat. State Representative McKinney secured backing from the Working Families Party, Senator Bernie Sanders, Representative Rashida Tlaib, and Michigan labor organizations, highlighting contrasts with incumbent Shri Thanedar on constituent services and local priorities. Thanedar retains support from establishment donors and name recognition as the sitting representative, though recent campaign finance and visibility gaps have weighed on his positioning. The remaining candidates—Shelby Campbell, Nazmul Hassan, and Anthony Carbonaro—register minimal market interest given limited fundraising and organizational infrastructure. The race remains subject to shifts from further endorsements or turnout patterns ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$44,987
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Donavan McKinney holds the lead in trader consensus for the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary in Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, driven by a series of high-profile progressive endorsements and perceptions of stronger grassroots organizing in the heavily Democratic Detroit-area seat. State Representative McKinney secured backing from the Working Families Party, Senator Bernie Sanders, Representative Rashida Tlaib, and Michigan labor organizations, highlighting contrasts with incumbent Shri Thanedar on constituent services and local priorities. Thanedar retains support from establishment donors and name recognition as the sitting representative, though recent campaign finance and visibility gaps have weighed on his positioning. The remaining candidates—Shelby Campbell, Nazmul Hassan, and Anthony Carbonaro—register minimal market interest given limited fundraising and organizational infrastructure. The race remains subject to shifts from further endorsements or turnout patterns ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$44,987
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Donavan McKinney » à 82%, suivi de « Shri Thanedar » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13 » a généré $45K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 19, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13 » est « Donavan McKinney » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Shri Thanedar » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate du MI-13 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.