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icon for Prochaine élection présidentielle française
Monde·Élection Française

Prochaine élection présidentielle française

icon for Prochaine élection présidentielle française
Monde·Élection Française

Prochaine élection présidentielle française

Marine Le Pen 34.8%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 7.1%

Polymarket

$132,881,000 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 34.8%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 7.1%

Polymarket

$132,881,000 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,411,037 Vol.

35%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,586,133 Vol.

28%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,432,872 Vol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,067,981 Vol.

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,773,315 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,257,666 Vol.

2%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,245,325 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,103,616 Vol.

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,865,878 Vol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,716,889 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,054,401 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,310,830 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,669,697 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,937,370 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,645,653 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,147,953 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,684,899 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$857,519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,722,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,540 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,116 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Titre d'élément du groupe: Carole Delga

Titre d'élément du groupe: Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,313 Vol.

<1%

icon for Titre du groupe : Manuel Bompard

Titre du groupe : Manuel Bompard

$4,826,235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,505 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race in trader consensus at 34.8 percent, reflecting consistent first-round polling leads of 32–35 percent for the National Rally candidate following her July 2026 appeal ruling that reduced her ineligibility period. Édouard Philippe trails at 28 percent as the strongest centrist option, though fragmentation across multiple declared or potential candidates—including Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and left-wing figures such as Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5 percent—keeps vote shares dispersed. Recent September 2026 surveys show limited movement, with debates over immigration policy, Ukraine support, and center-left primaries in October sustaining uncertainty ahead of the April first round. Runoff transfers and potential consolidation among moderates remain key variables that could shift probabilities before the May second round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$132,881,000
Date de fin
30 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads the 2027 French presidential race in trader consensus at 34.8 percent, reflecting consistent first-round polling leads of 32–35 percent for the National Rally candidate following her July 2026 appeal ruling that reduced her ineligibility period. Édouard Philippe trails at 28 percent as the strongest centrist option, though fragmentation across multiple declared or potential candidates—including Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and left-wing figures such as Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5 percent—keeps vote shares dispersed. Recent September 2026 surveys show limited movement, with debates over immigration policy, Ukraine support, and center-left primaries in October sustaining uncertainty ahead of the April first round. Runoff transfers and potential consolidation among moderates remain key variables that could shift probabilities before the May second round.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$132,881,000
Date de fin
30 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

89%
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

87%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Prochaine élection présidentielle française » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 41+ résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marine Le Pen » à 35%, suivi de « Édouard Philippe » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » a généré $132.9 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochaine élection présidentielle française », parcourez les 41+ résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » est « Marine Le Pen » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Édouard Philippe » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochaine élection présidentielle française » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.