Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid head coach, reflecting his mid-season turnaround after Xabi Alonso's January sacking, recent La Liga wins over Manchester City and Atlético Madrid, and squad support amid a rocky start from the Castilla bench. However, a fresh Champions League exit has intensified scrutiny, tightening the race with Didier Deschamps (45.5%) surging on reports of Bernabéu interest post his France contract ending after the 2026 World Cup, and Julian Nagelsmann (43%) emerging alongside him on shortlists. Unai Emery (37.5%) lingers with Villarreal success, but no club signals or appointments keep this post-season managerial hunt fiercely competitive among proven tacticians.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUnai Emery 37%
Enzo Maresca 22%
Andoni Iraola 13.3%
Robert De Zerbi 13.1%
$24,022 Vol.
$24,022 Vol.
Unai Emery
37%
Enzo Maresca
22%
Andoni Iraola
13%
Robert De Zerbi
13%
Jose Mourinho
13%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Jurgen Klopp
10%
Mikel Arteta
15%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Oliver Glasner
12%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique
23%
Didier Deschamps
-
Julian Nagelsmann
-
Unai Emery 37%
Enzo Maresca 22%
Andoni Iraola 13.3%
Robert De Zerbi 13.1%
$24,022 Vol.
$24,022 Vol.
Unai Emery
37%
Enzo Maresca
22%
Andoni Iraola
13%
Robert De Zerbi
13%
Jose Mourinho
13%
Mauricio Pochettino
11%
Jurgen Klopp
10%
Mikel Arteta
15%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Oliver Glasner
12%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Luis Enrique
23%
Didier Deschamps
-
Julian Nagelsmann
-
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid head coach, reflecting his mid-season turnaround after Xabi Alonso's January sacking, recent La Liga wins over Manchester City and Atlético Madrid, and squad support amid a rocky start from the Castilla bench. However, a fresh Champions League exit has intensified scrutiny, tightening the race with Didier Deschamps (45.5%) surging on reports of Bernabéu interest post his France contract ending after the 2026 World Cup, and Julian Nagelsmann (43%) emerging alongside him on shortlists. Unai Emery (37.5%) lingers with Villarreal success, but no club signals or appointments keep this post-season managerial hunt fiercely competitive among proven tacticians.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes