Market icon

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

Market icon

Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales?

250k+ 48%

225k-250k 45%

200k-225k 43%

175k-200k 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

250k+ 48%

225k-250k 45%

200k-225k 43%

175k-200k 42%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<125k

$0 Vol.

41%

125k-150k

$0 Vol.

41%

150k-175k

$0 Vol.

39%

175k-200k

$0 Vol.

42%

200k-225k

$0 Vol.

43%

225k-250k

$0 Vol.

45%

250k+

$0 Vol.

48%

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units, with even 50% implied probabilities across ranges from 125k-250k due to the absence of public HITS Daily Double trackers just 17 days pre-release on April 24. Strong momentum from the title track's #6 Hot 100 debut, #1 on Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, and over 90 million Spotify streams—bolstered by second single "Porch Light"—plus 1 million+ pre-saves and a sold-out stadium tour moving 1M+ tickets, fuels optimism for 150k-200k territory. However, alt-folk genre constraints and unknown April competition keep lower buckets viable; watch Netflix documentary premiere April 13 and early tracking for swings.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
1 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Noah Kahan's "The Great Divide" first-week album equivalent units, with even 50% implied probabilities across ranges from 125k-250k due to the absence of public HITS Daily Double trackers just 17 days pre-release on April 24. Strong momentum from the title track's #6 Hot 100 debut, #1 on Hot Rock & Alternative Songs, and over 90 million Spotify streams—bolstered by second single "Porch Light"—plus 1 million+ pre-saves and a sold-out stadium tour moving 1M+ tickets, fuels optimism for 150k-200k territory. However, alt-folk genre constraints and unknown April competition keep lower buckets viable; watch Netflix documentary premiere April 13 and early tracking for swings.

Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
1 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Noah Kahan's new album 'The Great Divide' is scheduled to be released on April 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Noah Kahan's album 'The Great Divide', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'The Great Divide' has not been released by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Questions fréquentes

« Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 250k+ » à 48%, suivi de « 225k-250k » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 7, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? » est « 250k+ » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 225k-250k » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Noah Kahan 'The Great Divide' First Week Album Sales? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.