Trader consensus slightly favors Tondela at 32.5% implied probability to claim 16th place and the Primeira Liga relegation playoff spot, buoyed by their game in hand after a gritty 2-2 home draw against Gil Vicente on April 13, plus new manager Gonçalo Feio's impact since late March. Casa Pia (30%, current 16th on 25 points from 28 games), Nacional (30%, 15th on 25/29), and Vitória de Guimarães (29.5%) cluster tightly behind, separated by goal difference amid poor recent form—winless streaks and draws against top sides like Benfica. Santa Clara (28 points/29 games) and Estoril loom with favorable remaining fixtures versus doomed AVS and Alverca, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this survival scrap with five matchdays left.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEstrela da Amadora 44%
Tondela 33%
Casa Pia 31%
Nacional 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 juin 2026
Estrela da Amadora
44%
Tondela
33%
Casa Pia
31%
Nacional
31%
Vitória de Guimarães
30%
Estoril Praia
30%
Santa Clara
29%
Moreirense
29%
Arouca
29%
AVS
28%
Alverca
28%
Rio Ave
20%
Estrela da Amadora 44%
Tondela 33%
Casa Pia 31%
Nacional 31%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 juin 2026
Estrela da Amadora
$0 Vol.
44%
Tondela
$0 Vol.
33%
Casa Pia
$0 Vol.
31%
Nacional
$0 Vol.
31%
Vitória de Guimarães
$20 Vol.
30%
Estoril Praia
$80 Vol.
30%
Santa Clara
$0 Vol.
29%
Moreirense
$20 Vol.
29%
Arouca
$0 Vol.
29%
AVS
$0 Vol.
28%
Alverca
$5 Vol.
28%
Rio Ave
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Tondela at 32.5% implied probability to claim 16th place and the Primeira Liga relegation playoff spot, buoyed by their game in hand after a gritty 2-2 home draw against Gil Vicente on April 13, plus new manager Gonçalo Feio's impact since late March. Casa Pia (30%, current 16th on 25 points from 28 games), Nacional (30%, 15th on 25/29), and Vitória de Guimarães (29.5%) cluster tightly behind, separated by goal difference amid poor recent form—winless streaks and draws against top sides like Benfica. Santa Clara (28 points/29 games) and Estoril loom with favorable remaining fixtures versus doomed AVS and Alverca, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this survival scrap with five matchdays left.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Volume
$2,673Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors Tondela at 32.5% implied probability to claim 16th place and the Primeira Liga relegation playoff spot, buoyed by their game in hand after a gritty 2-2 home draw against Gil Vicente on April 13, plus new manager Gonçalo Feio's impact since late March. Casa Pia (30%, current 16th on 25 points from 28 games), Nacional (30%, 15th on 25/29), and Vitória de Guimarães (29.5%) cluster tightly behind, separated by goal difference amid poor recent form—winless streaks and draws against top sides like Benfica. Santa Clara (28 points/29 games) and Estoril loom with favorable remaining fixtures versus doomed AVS and Alverca, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this survival scrap with five matchdays left.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,673Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Tondela at 32.5% implied probability to claim 16th place and the Primeira Liga relegation playoff spot, buoyed by their game in hand after a gritty 2-2 home draw against Gil Vicente on April 13, plus new manager Gonçalo Feio's impact since late March. Casa Pia (30%, current 16th on 25 points from 28 games), Nacional (30%, 15th on 25/29), and Vitória de Guimarães (29.5%) cluster tightly behind, separated by goal difference amid poor recent form—winless streaks and draws against top sides like Benfica. Santa Clara (28 points/29 games) and Estoril loom with favorable remaining fixtures versus doomed AVS and Alverca, underscoring the razor-thin margins in this survival scrap with five matchdays left.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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