The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 23-35% for dozens of NFL quarterbacks reflects the inherent unpredictability of Week 1 interceptions thrown. Factors such as new offensive schemes, revamped receiving corps, and early-season rust contribute to elevated turnover risk for starters like Mac Jones, Sam Darnold, and Shedeur Sanders, while established passers including Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson carry comparable exposure due to aggressive play styles and challenging road matchups. Official injury reports, weather forecasts, and defensive rankings further balance the field, with no single signal dominating trader consensus this far ahead of kickoff. Historical data shows Week 1 interception leaders often emerge from unexpected sources amid limited preseason reps.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSam Darnold 69%
Drew Lock 69%
Brock Purdy 50%
Stetson Bennett IV 49%
Sam Darnold
69%
Drew Lock
69%
Brock Purdy
50%
Stetson Bennett IV
49%
Joe Burrow
48%
Tua Tagovailoa
47%
Matthew Stafford
45%
Mac Jones
35%
Kyle Allen
26%
Malik Willis
26%
Tyler Huntley
26%
Mason Rudolph
26%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
26%
Justin Fields
26%
Justin Herbert
26%
Dak Prescott
26%
Jalen Hurts
26%
J.J. McCarthy
26%
Spencer Rattler
26%
Baker Mayfield
26%
Jalon Daniels
26%
Gardner Minshew II
26%
Tyrod Taylor
26%
Josh Allen
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Geno Smith
25%
Lamar Jackson
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Deshaun Watson
25%
Shedeur Sanders
25%
Aaron Rodgers
25%
Davis Mills
25%
Daniel Jones
25%
Trevor Lawrence
25%
Quinn Ewers
25%
Mitchell Trubisky
25%
Bo Nix
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Patrick Mahomes
25%
Kirk Cousins
25%
Sam Howell
25%
Jayden Daniels
25%
Caleb Williams
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Joshua Dobbs
25%
Michael Penix Jr.
25%
Kenny Pickett
25%
Drake Maye
24%
C.J. Stroud
24%
Cam Ward
24%
Trey Lance
24%
Andy Dalton
24%
Jaxson Dart
24%
Jameis Winston
24%
Marcus Mariota
24%
Kyler Murray
24%
Tyler Shough
24%
Jacoby Brissett
24%
Kyle McCord
24%
Cade Klubnik
24%
Fernando Mendoza
24%
Jordan Love
24%
Bryce Young
24%
Sam Darnold 69%
Drew Lock 69%
Brock Purdy 50%
Stetson Bennett IV 49%
Sam Darnold
69%
Drew Lock
69%
Brock Purdy
50%
Stetson Bennett IV
49%
Joe Burrow
48%
Tua Tagovailoa
47%
Matthew Stafford
45%
Mac Jones
35%
Kyle Allen
26%
Malik Willis
26%
Tyler Huntley
26%
Mason Rudolph
26%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
26%
Justin Fields
26%
Justin Herbert
26%
Dak Prescott
26%
Jalen Hurts
26%
J.J. McCarthy
26%
Spencer Rattler
26%
Baker Mayfield
26%
Jalon Daniels
26%
Gardner Minshew II
26%
Tyrod Taylor
26%
Josh Allen
25%
Tommy DeVito
25%
Geno Smith
25%
Lamar Jackson
25%
Joe Flacco
25%
Deshaun Watson
25%
Shedeur Sanders
25%
Aaron Rodgers
25%
Davis Mills
25%
Daniel Jones
25%
Trevor Lawrence
25%
Quinn Ewers
25%
Mitchell Trubisky
25%
Bo Nix
25%
Jarrett Stidham
25%
Patrick Mahomes
25%
Kirk Cousins
25%
Sam Howell
25%
Jayden Daniels
25%
Caleb Williams
25%
Tyson Bagent
25%
Jared Goff
25%
Joshua Dobbs
25%
Michael Penix Jr.
25%
Kenny Pickett
25%
Drake Maye
24%
C.J. Stroud
24%
Cam Ward
24%
Trey Lance
24%
Andy Dalton
24%
Jaxson Dart
24%
Jameis Winston
24%
Marcus Mariota
24%
Kyler Murray
24%
Tyler Shough
24%
Jacoby Brissett
24%
Kyle McCord
24%
Cade Klubnik
24%
Fernando Mendoza
24%
Jordan Love
24%
Bryce Young
24%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 23-35% for dozens of NFL quarterbacks reflects the inherent unpredictability of Week 1 interceptions thrown. Factors such as new offensive schemes, revamped receiving corps, and early-season rust contribute to elevated turnover risk for starters like Mac Jones, Sam Darnold, and Shedeur Sanders, while established passers including Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson carry comparable exposure due to aggressive play styles and challenging road matchups. Official injury reports, weather forecasts, and defensive rankings further balance the field, with no single signal dominating trader consensus this far ahead of kickoff. Historical data shows Week 1 interception leaders often emerge from unexpected sources amid limited preseason reps.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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