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icon for Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ?

Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ?

icon for Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ?

Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ?

$844,921 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$844,921 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre

$322,606 Vol.

95%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ilie Bolojan has served as Romania’s caretaker prime minister since his pro-European coalition government lost a no-confidence vote on 5 May 2026.** The Social Democratic Party (PSD) withdrew from the coalition in April, joined forces with the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) to pass the motion by a wide margin (281-4), and left Bolojan’s National Liberal Party (PNL)-led minority administration in power with limited authority. Negotiations for a replacement cabinet have stalled repeatedly through the summer. President Nicușor Dan’s earlier nominees failed to secure parliamentary majorities, and mainstream parties have ruled out renewed cooperation with the PSD while also avoiding deals that empower AUR. Bolojan has remained in office amid the deadlock, focusing on continuity for EU recovery funds (PNRR) and warning that prolonged interim status blocks needed budget revisions and legislative action. As of late August 2026, Parliament is set to resume sessions in September, prompting renewed coalition talks. PNL continues to back Siegfried Mureșan as its preferred candidate and has rejected scenarios such as a PSD-led government, while floating the possibility of snap elections if no majority emerges. Traders are therefore focused on whether September parliamentary activity can break the impasse or extend the caretaker period, with fiscal pressures, EU fund deadlines, and the risk of early polls serving as the main variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$844,921
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ilie Bolojan has served as Romania’s caretaker prime minister since his pro-European coalition government lost a no-confidence vote on 5 May 2026.** The Social Democratic Party (PSD) withdrew from the coalition in April, joined forces with the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) to pass the motion by a wide margin (281-4), and left Bolojan’s National Liberal Party (PNL)-led minority administration in power with limited authority. Negotiations for a replacement cabinet have stalled repeatedly through the summer. President Nicușor Dan’s earlier nominees failed to secure parliamentary majorities, and mainstream parties have ruled out renewed cooperation with the PSD while also avoiding deals that empower AUR. Bolojan has remained in office amid the deadlock, focusing on continuity for EU recovery funds (PNRR) and warning that prolonged interim status blocks needed budget revisions and legislative action. As of late August 2026, Parliament is set to resume sessions in September, prompting renewed coalition talks. PNL continues to back Siegfried Mureșan as its preferred candidate and has rejected scenarios such as a PSD-led government, while floating the possibility of snap elections if no majority emerges. Traders are therefore focused on whether September parliamentary activity can break the impasse or extend the caretaker period, with fiscal pressures, EU fund deadlines, and the risk of early polls serving as the main variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$844,921
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre » à 95%, suivi de « 31 mai » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ? » a généré $844.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mai » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Sortie du Premier ministre roumain Bolojan d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.