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icon for Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine
Politique·élection

Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine

icon for Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine
Politique·élection

Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine

Grand chelem démocrate 46%

Dém. TX & MI, Rép. ME 12.0%

Réps TX, Dém MI & ME 11%

Républicains TX & MI, Démocrates ME 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Grand chelem démocrate 46%

Dém. TX & MI, Rép. ME 12.0%

Réps TX, Dém MI & ME 11%

Républicains TX & MI, Démocrates ME 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Grand chelem démocrate

$1,233 Vol.

46%

Dém. TX & MI, Rép. ME

$116 Vol.

12%

Réps TX, Dém MI & ME

$157 Vol.

11%

Républicains TX & MI, Démocrates ME

$169 Vol.

11%

Victoire totale des républicains

$131 Vol.

7%

Dém. TX & ME, Rép. MI

$164 Vol.

7%

Répub. TX & ME, Dém. MI

$142 Vol.

6%

Dém. TX, Rép. MI & ME

$102 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling in the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate contests shows margins within the margin of error across multiple surveys, with Democratic nominees James Talarico, Abdul El-Sayed, and Troy Jackson each holding narrow or tied leads against Republicans Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and incumbent Susan Collins. Trader consensus on the combo market reflects this uncertainty, pricing "other" outcomes highest as no single party configuration commands a clear edge. The races feature an open Democratic seat in even-partisan Michigan, a Republican primary upset in deep-red Texas, and a competitive matchup in blue-leaning Maine, where late nominee changes and turnout dynamics among independents remain influential. Upcoming campaign events and final voter mobilization in the weeks before November could shift individual results and separate the leading combinations.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,214
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling in the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate contests shows margins within the margin of error across multiple surveys, with Democratic nominees James Talarico, Abdul El-Sayed, and Troy Jackson each holding narrow or tied leads against Republicans Ken Paxton, Mike Rogers, and incumbent Susan Collins. Trader consensus on the combo market reflects this uncertainty, pricing "other" outcomes highest as no single party configuration commands a clear edge. The races feature an open Democratic seat in even-partisan Michigan, a Republican primary upset in deep-red Texas, and a competitive matchup in blue-leaning Maine, where late nominee changes and turnout dynamics among independents remain influential. Upcoming campaign events and final voter mobilization in the weeks before November could shift individual results and separate the leading combinations.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$2,214
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l’élection du gouverneur du Texas et les Démocrates gagner l’élection sénatoriale du Texas ?

Les Républicains vont-ils gagner l’élection du gouverneur du Texas et les Démocrates gagner l’élection sénatoriale du Texas ?

43%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur dans le Maine ?

Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur dans le Maine ?

70%
Oui
icon for Les démocrates remporteront-ils les élections du Sénat et du gouverneur du Michigan ?

Les démocrates remporteront-ils les élections du Sénat et du gouverneur du Michigan ?

63%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Grand chelem démocrate » à 46%, suivi de « Dém. TX & MI, Rép. ME » à 12%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 46¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine » est « Grand chelem démocrate » à 46%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 46% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Dém. TX & MI, Rép. ME » à 12%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combo à trois voies du Sénat : Texas, Michigan, Maine » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.