Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a hole-in-one during the 2026 Masters tournament rounds at 54.5% yes, capturing the competitive balance between Augusta's ace-prone par-3s—No. 12 Golden Bell (155 yards) and No. 16 (170 yards over water)—and the inherent unpredictability of pin placements, wind gusts, and iron accuracy under major pressure. Recent years bolster the slight yes lean, with three aces in 2025 alone across a deep field of 91 players including defending champion Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and long bombers like Bryson DeChambeau. Practice rounds this week (April 6-8) show no official aces yet, but favorable early forecasts could nudge odds higher; incoming winds or conservative Sunday pins might swing toward no as the cut line firms post-Round 2.