Redistricting approved in May 2026 redrew Tennessee’s 9th district, splitting Memphis across multiple seats and shifting the core Democratic electorate, prompting longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the August 6 primary. This structural change elevated state Representative Justin Pearson as the clear frontrunner among Democratic primary voters, supported by stronger fundraising and name recognition from prior legislative visibility. DeVante Hill and other challengers, including London Lamar, trail with smaller organizations and limited polling traction. Trader consensus reflects these developments, pricing Cohen near zero while assigning Pearson the dominant share ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Justin Pearson 76%
DeVante Hill 10.7%
Steve Cohen 2.1%
$10,310 Vol.
$10,310 Vol.
Justin Pearson
78%
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
2%
Justin Pearson 76%
DeVante Hill 10.7%
Steve Cohen 2.1%
$10,310 Vol.
$10,310 Vol.
Justin Pearson
78%
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting approved in May 2026 redrew Tennessee’s 9th district, splitting Memphis across multiple seats and shifting the core Democratic electorate, prompting longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the August 6 primary. This structural change elevated state Representative Justin Pearson as the clear frontrunner among Democratic primary voters, supported by stronger fundraising and name recognition from prior legislative visibility. DeVante Hill and other challengers, including London Lamar, trail with smaller organizations and limited polling traction. Trader consensus reflects these developments, pricing Cohen near zero while assigning Pearson the dominant share ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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