Tennessee Republicans' mid-May 2026 congressional map redraw shifted the 9th district from a heavily Democratic Memphis seat to one favoring Republicans by double digits, prompting longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw and endorse others. This opened the August 6 Democratic primary to challengers, with state Rep. Justin Pearson emerging as the consensus frontrunner among traders due to his established profile, fundraising edge, and early positioning in the Memphis area. DeVante Hill and remaining candidates trail as lesser-known alternatives in the field that also includes state Sen. London Lamar. The implied probabilities reflect the structural impact of redistricting on candidate viability ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
DeVante Hill 10.8%
Steve Cohen 2.0%
Justin Pearson 0
$10,310 Vol.
$10,310 Vol.
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
2%
Justin Pearson
57%
DeVante Hill 10.8%
Steve Cohen 2.0%
Justin Pearson 0
$10,310 Vol.
$10,310 Vol.
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
2%
Justin Pearson
57%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee Republicans' mid-May 2026 congressional map redraw shifted the 9th district from a heavily Democratic Memphis seat to one favoring Republicans by double digits, prompting longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw and endorse others. This opened the August 6 Democratic primary to challengers, with state Rep. Justin Pearson emerging as the consensus frontrunner among traders due to his established profile, fundraising edge, and early positioning in the Memphis area. DeVante Hill and remaining candidates trail as lesser-known alternatives in the field that also includes state Sen. London Lamar. The implied probabilities reflect the structural impact of redistricting on candidate viability ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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