Tennessee's May 2026 mid-cycle redistricting, which split Memphis across three districts and diluted the prior Democratic stronghold, prompted longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the August 6 primary. This structural change elevated state Rep. Justin Pearson, who had already launched a challenge as a progressive activist and "Tennessee Three" member with strong local fundraising and endorsements from House Democratic colleagues. Trader consensus reflects Pearson's established campaign infrastructure and name recognition in the redrawn Memphis-centered area. DeVante Hill, a local activist entrant, holds secondary support amid a fragmented field that also includes London Lamar and others, while Cohen's exit left minimal residual probability for his return. The primary timeline leaves limited room for late shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Justin Pearson 76%
DeVante Hill 10.7%
Steve Cohen 2.1%
$10,310 Vol.
$10,310 Vol.
Justin Pearson
79%
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
2%
Justin Pearson 76%
DeVante Hill 10.7%
Steve Cohen 2.1%
$10,310 Vol.
$10,310 Vol.
Justin Pearson
79%
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee's May 2026 mid-cycle redistricting, which split Memphis across three districts and diluted the prior Democratic stronghold, prompted longtime incumbent Steve Cohen to withdraw from the August 6 primary. This structural change elevated state Rep. Justin Pearson, who had already launched a challenge as a progressive activist and "Tennessee Three" member with strong local fundraising and endorsements from House Democratic colleagues. Trader consensus reflects Pearson's established campaign infrastructure and name recognition in the redrawn Memphis-centered area. DeVante Hill, a local activist entrant, holds secondary support amid a fragmented field that also includes London Lamar and others, while Cohen's exit left minimal residual probability for his return. The primary timeline leaves limited room for late shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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