SpaceX's Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware as standard features to enable ship-to-ship refueling in low Earth orbit, a critical step for Artemis lunar missions and beyond. Official company updates outline plans for one Starship to launch first as a target, followed by a second to perform rendezvous, proximity operations, and docking using DragonEye sensors proven on Dragon spacecraft. Recent integrated flight tests, including Flight 13 in mid-2026, have advanced vehicle reliability and recovery, yet no actual two-Starship docking has occurred. Key upcoming catalysts include further V3 launches targeting orbital demonstrations before the 2027 Artemis III Orion docking test, with timelines hinging on iterative test success and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects SpaceX's rapid development pace balanced against typical aerospace delays in complex in-space maneuvers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$59,702 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
31 décembre 2026
12%
31 décembre 2027
59%
$59,702 Vol.
31 décembre 2026
$38,824 Vol.
12%
31 décembre 2027
$20,878 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware as standard features to enable ship-to-ship refueling in low Earth orbit, a critical step for Artemis lunar missions and beyond. Official company updates outline plans for one Starship to launch first as a target, followed by a second to perform rendezvous, proximity operations, and docking using DragonEye sensors proven on Dragon spacecraft. Recent integrated flight tests, including Flight 13 in mid-2026, have advanced vehicle reliability and recovery, yet no actual two-Starship docking has occurred. Key upcoming catalysts include further V3 launches targeting orbital demonstrations before the 2027 Artemis III Orion docking test, with timelines hinging on iterative test success and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects SpaceX's rapid development pace balanced against typical aerospace delays in complex in-space maneuvers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$59,702Date de fin
31 déc. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware as standard features to enable ship-to-ship refueling in low Earth orbit, a critical step for Artemis lunar missions and beyond. Official company updates outline plans for one Starship to launch first as a target, followed by a second to perform rendezvous, proximity operations, and docking using DragonEye sensors proven on Dragon spacecraft. Recent integrated flight tests, including Flight 13 in mid-2026, have advanced vehicle reliability and recovery, yet no actual two-Starship docking has occurred. Key upcoming catalysts include further V3 launches targeting orbital demonstrations before the 2027 Artemis III Orion docking test, with timelines hinging on iterative test success and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects SpaceX's rapid development pace balanced against typical aerospace delays in complex in-space maneuvers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$59,702Date de fin
31 déc. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's Version 3 Starships now incorporate dedicated docking ports, drogues, and propellant transfer hardware as standard features to enable ship-to-ship refueling in low Earth orbit, a critical step for Artemis lunar missions and beyond. Official company updates outline plans for one Starship to launch first as a target, followed by a second to perform rendezvous, proximity operations, and docking using DragonEye sensors proven on Dragon spacecraft. Recent integrated flight tests, including Flight 13 in mid-2026, have advanced vehicle reliability and recovery, yet no actual two-Starship docking has occurred. Key upcoming catalysts include further V3 launches targeting orbital demonstrations before the 2027 Artemis III Orion docking test, with timelines hinging on iterative test success and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects SpaceX's rapid development pace balanced against typical aerospace delays in complex in-space maneuvers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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