Real Madrid hosts Bayern Munich in a pivotal UEFA Champions League knockout clash at the Santiago Bernabéu, with trader consensus giving Bayern a slim 41.5% implied probability edge over Real's 35.5% and a 23.5% draw chance, reflecting the finely balanced matchup amid mounting injury concerns. Real Madrid remains without goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois (muscle) and forward Rodrygo (knee ligament tear), while defender Ferland Mendy is doubtful after a calf issue, forcing Andriy Lunin into goal and testing defensive depth; midfielder Jude Bellingham's fitness is also in question post-recent rotation. Bayern cautiously manages Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies but expects Harry Kane to lead the attack, buoyed by a potent Bundesliga run and historical competitiveness despite a winless streak in nine prior meetings with Real. Home advantage and knockout stakes keep probabilities tightly contested, with multiple players from both sides at risk of suspension for the second leg.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid hosts Bayern Munich in a pivotal UEFA Champions League knockout clash at the Santiago Bernabéu, with trader consensus giving Bayern a slim 41.5% implied probability edge over Real's 35.5% and a 23.5% draw chance, reflecting the finely balanced matchup amid mounting injury concerns. Real Madrid remains without goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois (muscle) and forward Rodrygo (knee ligament tear), while defender Ferland Mendy is doubtful after a calf issue, forcing Andriy Lunin into goal and testing defensive depth; midfielder Jude Bellingham's fitness is also in question post-recent rotation. Bayern cautiously manages Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies but expects Harry Kane to lead the attack, buoyed by a potent Bundesliga run and historical competitiveness despite a winless streak in nine prior meetings with Real. Home advantage and knockout stakes keep probabilities tightly contested, with multiple players from both sides at risk of suspension for the second leg.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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