Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's mounting injury woes amid a competitive head-to-head history where Los Blancos hold a narrow edge. Jude Bellingham remains doubtful with a lingering hamstring issue from February, prompting manager Álvaro Arbeloa's cautious approach just 15 hours ago, while Thibaut Courtois is confirmed out until late April with a muscle tear, forcing Lunin into goal. Bayern face their own setback as Harry Kane races to recover from a recent knock sustained on international duty, with Vincent Kompany voicing concerns over the past 48 hours. Recent form shows Bayern's momentum post-group stage, tilting odds despite Real's home advantage and Mbappé's availability in a tightly contested matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's mounting injury woes amid a competitive head-to-head history where Los Blancos hold a narrow edge. Jude Bellingham remains doubtful with a lingering hamstring issue from February, prompting manager Álvaro Arbeloa's cautious approach just 15 hours ago, while Thibaut Courtois is confirmed out until late April with a muscle tear, forcing Lunin into goal. Bayern face their own setback as Harry Kane races to recover from a recent knock sustained on international duty, with Vincent Kompany voicing concerns over the past 48 hours. Recent form shows Bayern's momentum post-group stage, tilting odds despite Real's home advantage and Mbappé's availability in a tightly contested matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes