Crystal Palace's commanding 3-0 first-leg quarter-final victory over two-time finalists Fiorentina has edged England to a 52% implied probability as the home country of the UEFA Europa Conference League champion, bolstering trader consensus on their likely semi-final advancement. Spain trails closely at 44.5% after Rayo Vallecano's identical 3-0 rout of AEK Athens, underscoring the razor-thin margin in this knockout phase with both sides holding massive aggregate leads ahead of second legs on April 16. Shakhtar Donetsk's 3-0 triumph over AZ Alkmaar supports Ukraine at 14.5%, while France clings to 28.5% on Strasbourg's top league-phase finish despite trailing Mainz 0-2, highlighting the competitive uncertainty with potential comebacks in high-stakes ties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 28%
Ukraine 14%
Germany 9%
Greece 4.6%
France
28%
Ukraine
14%
Germany
9%
Greece
5%
Netherlands
2%
Italy
12%
England
58%
Spain
44%
France 28%
Ukraine 14%
Germany 9%
Greece 4.6%
France
28%
Ukraine
14%
Germany
9%
Greece
5%
Netherlands
2%
Italy
12%
England
58%
Spain
44%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 10, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Crystal Palace's commanding 3-0 first-leg quarter-final victory over two-time finalists Fiorentina has edged England to a 52% implied probability as the home country of the UEFA Europa Conference League champion, bolstering trader consensus on their likely semi-final advancement. Spain trails closely at 44.5% after Rayo Vallecano's identical 3-0 rout of AEK Athens, underscoring the razor-thin margin in this knockout phase with both sides holding massive aggregate leads ahead of second legs on April 16. Shakhtar Donetsk's 3-0 triumph over AZ Alkmaar supports Ukraine at 14.5%, while France clings to 28.5% on Strasbourg's top league-phase finish despite trailing Mainz 0-2, highlighting the competitive uncertainty with potential comebacks in high-stakes ties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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