SC Freiburg holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for their UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg against RC Celta de Vigo at Europa-Park Stadion, driven by a perfect home record this season across five matches and nine straight UEL home wins. Recent back-to-back Bundesliga home defeats in injury time—to Union Berlin and a 3-2 collapse versus Bayern Munich on April 4—temper enthusiasm despite their 5-0 rout of Genk in the prior round. Celta's 28.5% reflects strong away form (unbeaten in eight across competitions, including a 3-2 La Liga win at Valencia), but Javier Rueda's UEFA suspension looms large after his goal in their Lyon knockout. The 29.5% draw pricing underscores tight matchups, with Celta's games rarely exceeding one-goal margins lately.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIf SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If SC Freiburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SC Freiburg holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for their UEFA Europa League quarter-final first leg against RC Celta de Vigo at Europa-Park Stadion, driven by a perfect home record this season across five matches and nine straight UEL home wins. Recent back-to-back Bundesliga home defeats in injury time—to Union Berlin and a 3-2 collapse versus Bayern Munich on April 4—temper enthusiasm despite their 5-0 rout of Genk in the prior round. Celta's 28.5% reflects strong away form (unbeaten in eight across competitions, including a 3-2 La Liga win at Valencia), but Javier Rueda's UEFA suspension looms large after his goal in their Lyon knockout. The 29.5% draw pricing underscores tight matchups, with Celta's games rarely exceeding one-goal margins lately.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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