US-Iran diplomatic efforts intensified after high-level talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a ceasefire extension, despite nearly 20 hours of negotiations involving US Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. With the fragile truce expiring April 21 amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, diplomats are arranging a second in-person round—potentially in Pakistan or Geneva—before April 30. Pakistan's army chief visited Tehran on April 15 to urge progress, while President Trump signaled resumption within days. Trader consensus favors continuity with Witkoff's team, reflecting his lead role and skin-in-the-game assessments of negotiation dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
$110,786 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Donald Trump
7%
J.D. Vance
76%
Marco Rubio
9%
Jared Kushner
80%
Steve Witkoff
83%
$110,786 Vol.
Donald Trump
$91,542 Vol.
7%
J.D. Vance
$7,609 Vol.
76%
Marco Rubio
$5,380 Vol.
9%
Jared Kushner
$2,485 Vol.
80%
Steve Witkoff
$3,789 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts intensified after high-level talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a ceasefire extension, despite nearly 20 hours of negotiations involving US Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. With the fragile truce expiring April 21 amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, diplomats are arranging a second in-person round—potentially in Pakistan or Geneva—before April 30. Pakistan's army chief visited Tehran on April 15 to urge progress, while President Trump signaled resumption within days. Trader consensus favors continuity with Witkoff's team, reflecting his lead role and skin-in-the-game assessments of negotiation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$110,786Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts intensified after high-level talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a ceasefire extension, despite nearly 20 hours of negotiations involving US Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. With the fragile truce expiring April 21 amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, diplomats are arranging a second in-person round—potentially in Pakistan or Geneva—before April 30. Pakistan's army chief visited Tehran on April 15 to urge progress, while President Trump signaled resumption within days. Trader consensus favors continuity with Witkoff's team, reflecting his lead role and skin-in-the-game assessments of negotiation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$110,786Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts intensified after high-level talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without a ceasefire extension, despite nearly 20 hours of negotiations involving US Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner meeting Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. With the fragile truce expiring April 21 amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, diplomats are arranging a second in-person round—potentially in Pakistan or Geneva—before April 30. Pakistan's army chief visited Tehran on April 15 to urge progress, while President Trump signaled resumption within days. Trader consensus favors continuity with Witkoff's team, reflecting his lead role and skin-in-the-game assessments of negotiation dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes