Following the April 11-12 marathon talks in Islamabad, Pakistan—where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi but failed to secure a deal on nuclear curbs or Strait of Hormuz access—diplomats are pushing for a second round amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. No agreement emerged from the 21-hour session, yet U.S. officials described progress in building rapport, fueling trader consensus on imminent high-level U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Pakistan has proposed resuming negotiations as early as this week, with backchannels active to avert escalation, including potential U.S. blockade intensification; market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds anticipating a qualifying in-person meeting by April 30 under strict criteria requiring direct, official participation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
$89,495 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Donald Trump
8%
J.D. Vance
77%
Marco Rubio
12%
Jared Kushner
72%
Steve Witkoff
84%
$89,495 Vol.
Donald Trump
$77,400 Vol.
8%
J.D. Vance
$4,868 Vol.
77%
Marco Rubio
$3,592 Vol.
12%
Jared Kushner
$1,225 Vol.
72%
Steve Witkoff
$3,094 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the April 11-12 marathon talks in Islamabad, Pakistan—where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi but failed to secure a deal on nuclear curbs or Strait of Hormuz access—diplomats are pushing for a second round amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. No agreement emerged from the 21-hour session, yet U.S. officials described progress in building rapport, fueling trader consensus on imminent high-level U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Pakistan has proposed resuming negotiations as early as this week, with backchannels active to avert escalation, including potential U.S. blockade intensification; market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds anticipating a qualifying in-person meeting by April 30 under strict criteria requiring direct, official participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$89,495Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the April 11-12 marathon talks in Islamabad, Pakistan—where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi but failed to secure a deal on nuclear curbs or Strait of Hormuz access—diplomats are pushing for a second round amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. No agreement emerged from the 21-hour session, yet U.S. officials described progress in building rapport, fueling trader consensus on imminent high-level U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Pakistan has proposed resuming negotiations as early as this week, with backchannels active to avert escalation, including potential U.S. blockade intensification; market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds anticipating a qualifying in-person meeting by April 30 under strict criteria requiring direct, official participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$89,495Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the April 11-12 marathon talks in Islamabad, Pakistan—where U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi but failed to secure a deal on nuclear curbs or Strait of Hormuz access—diplomats are pushing for a second round amid a fragile ceasefire nearing expiration. No agreement emerged from the 21-hour session, yet U.S. officials described progress in building rapport, fueling trader consensus on imminent high-level U.S.-Iran diplomacy. Pakistan has proposed resuming negotiations as early as this week, with backchannels active to avert escalation, including potential U.S. blockade intensification; market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds anticipating a qualifying in-person meeting by April 30 under strict criteria requiring direct, official participation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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