Argentina's planned citizenship-by-investment program, often described as a "golden passport" scheme tied to major investments such as data centers or sovereign bonds, remains in early development without an operational launch or defined approval timelines as of September 2026. Trader consensus around an 88.5% probability for "No" reflects official denials of any expedited offer to Peter Thiel, despite his temporary relocation to Buenos Aires, property purchases, and repeated meetings with President Javier Milei. Bureaucratic hurdles, legislative requirements, and the absence of demonstrated residency or formal application further support the market-implied odds. A last-minute executive decree could serve as a potential catalyst, though current verified developments indicate low likelihood before year-end.